API vs DSR top 100 - April 2012

Australian Property Investor magazine (API) consulted with industry experts to come up with a list of the top 100 suburbs primed for growth. They published this "Top 100" in their April 2012 issue. This page compares the performance of the API top 100 against the DSR top 100 for the same period.


Timing

There is about a 2 month gap between the receipt of top picks by the magazine from experts and the date the magazines are published. The magazine's issue month is also in advance of this date by one more month. So the data appearing in the issue called "April" would have been provided in January.


And the winner was...

The average growth for all the markets appearing in the API top 100 from Jan 2012 to April 2015 (time of writing) was 14.16%.

In comparison, the top 100 property markets in Jan 2012 as ranked using the DSR had an average growth rate for the same period of 18.79%. That's over 4% more capital growth than the average expert's pick.


How the race unfolded

Median calculations jump up and down a bit from month to month. Sometimes this is from volatility, other times from statistical anomaly.

So publications of performance results are often timed carefully to coincide with a positive month for the predictor. Not here at DSR data. You can see the entire race in the following chart.




But wait, there's more

Note that the top ten by DSR, as opposed to the top hundred, had an average growth even higher of 27.56%. That's over 13% more capital growth than the average expert's pick.

An extra 4% growth (DSR top 100 vs API top 100) on a $300,000 property is worth $12,000. An extra 13% growth (DSR top 10 vs API top 100) on a $500,000 property is worth $65,000. How much are you prepared to pay for good data?


But you can do better

In compiling the top 100 by DSR, no research was performed to refine the list any further. This list was pulled straight out of the database, ordered by DSR from highest to lowest. That means an investor could grab the top 10 by DSR, perform more research to refine the list further, and get even better returns.

Also, note that this is the top markets by basic DSR, not by DSR+ which outperforms the basic DSR. That means an investor could grab the top 10 by DSR+ and refine the list to get even better growth.


Hard to believe?

You can verify the results of the API top 100 by obtaining issue 134 dated April 2012. You'll need to obtain historical price data for these suburbs for Jan 2012 and for the time of writing, April 2015.

The top 100 DSR markets were published in Your Investment Property magazine (YIP) issue 57 April 2012. You'll need historical price data for these property markets for Jan 2012 and for the time of writing, April 2015.


DSR top 100 as at April 2012

Post code Suburb Property type
2232 LOFTUS Houses
3765 MONTROSE Houses
3087 WATSONIA NORTH Houses
2208 KINGSGROVE Units
2225 OYSTER BAY Units
2227 GYMEA BAY Units
2043 ERSKINEVILLE Units
2062 CAMMERAY Units
2162 SEFTON Houses
2223 MORTDALE Units
2227 GYMEA Houses
2099 NARRAWEENA Houses
2232 KIRRAWEE Houses
2077 HORNSBY Units
3136 CROYDON SOUTH Houses
2217 RAMSGATE BEACH Units
2614 SCULLIN Houses
2022 QUEENS PARK Units
2049 LEWISHAM Units
2615 CHARNWOOD Houses
2232 KIRRAWEE Units
3219 THOMSON Houses
3154 THE BASIN Units
3158 UPWEY Units
3765 MONTROSE Units
3766 KALORAMA Units
3788 OLINDA Units
3791 KALLISTA Units
3796 MOUNT EVELYN Units
3152 WANTIRNA Units
2228 YOWIE BAY Units
3133 VERMONT SOUTH Units
2016 REDFERN Units
2133 CROYDON PARK Units
3179 SCORESBY Houses
3796 MOUNT EVELYN Houses
2096 FRESHWATER Units
2226 JANNALI Houses
3156 FERNTREE GULLY Houses
2041 BALMAIN Units
2065 NAREMBURN Units
2232 SUTHERLAND Houses
2233 HEATHCOTE Houses
2750 SOUTH PENRITH Houses
2049 LEWISHAM Houses
2227 GYMEA Units
2210 RIVERWOOD Units
6147 PARKWOOD Houses
2233 YARRAWARRAH Houses
3153 BAYSWATER NORTH Units
2614 COOK Houses
2193 ASHBURY Houses
2060 LAVENDER BAY Units
2015 BEACONSFIELD Units
2065 GREENWICH Units
2015 EVELEIGH Units
3093 LOWER PLENTY Units
3138 MOOROOLBARK Units
3131 FOREST HILL Units
3179 SCORESBY Units
2079 MOUNT COLAH Units
2086 FRENCHS FOREST Units
3096 WATTLE GLEN Units
3114 PARK ORCHARDS Units
3115 WONGA PARK Units
3116 CHIRNSIDE PARK Units
3151 BURWOOD EAST Units
3793 MONBULK Units
2073 WEST PYMBLE Units
2075 ST IVES CHASE Units
2081 BEROWRA Units
2085 DAVIDSON Units
2206 CLEMTON PARK Units
3113 WARRANDYTE Units
3150 WHEELERS HILL Units
2203 DULWICH HILL Units
2204 MARRICKVILLE Units
2040 LILYFIELD Houses
3153 BAYSWATER Houses
2113 MACQUARIE PARK Units
2218 CARLTON Units
2093 MANLY VALE Units
2018 EASTLAKES Units
2148 KINGS PARK Houses
2232 KAREELA Houses
7008 LENAH VALLEY Houses
2024 WAVERLEY Units
2066 LANE COVE NORTH Units
2090 CREMORNE POINT Units
2021 CENTENNIAL PARK Units
3095 ELTHAM NORTH Houses
2207 BARDWELL VALLEY Houses
2026 NORTH BONDI Units
2093 BALGOWLAH Units
3154 THE BASIN Houses
2209 NARWEE Units
2223 OATLEY Units
2602 HACKETT Houses
2034 SOUTH COOGEE Units
2145 PENDLE HILL Units